Monday, August 17, 2009

Artist rendering of the proposed biofuel plant...


Not quite the eyesore that some NIMBY's are trying their best to make the proposed biofuel plant out to be.

Update:

Also including this map view to give some perspective how far away this plant is to the 'backyards' of the voices that are protesting this plant.

Saturday, August 15, 2009

Game changer??

The information I'm about to share with you could possibly end the debate about water usage for one of the particular proposed solar power plants. Specifically the one proposed out at the Red Lake area. One of the readers here at MOCO, not a contributor to the comments, has attended one of the open house events put on by Hualapai Valley Solar. This nice reader contacted me awhile ago and asked me why hasn't anyone talked about the subject matter offered by the company at the open house events. Well I did NOT attend any of the events so I am not privy to anything that does not appear on the linked website above or in media reports. So I asked this person to share with me what he/she knew. The only condition in exchange was to keep this person's identity hidden, something I can and have done over the years I've been blogging.

Now I realize that what I'm about to share won't come across as the be all and end all information from THE source of information... and I agree. But what YOU can do with the information is ask questions with this information. Question whom, you might ask?? Anyone and everyone involved with the debate. Feel free to verify the information, it is NOT my information. I'm just using MOCO to pass along the information. More information the better. Certainly better than just plain old empty rhetoric.

You see there were many differing degrees of the sides of the issue that attended the open house events. The water worry warts were certainly in attendance, so were other concerned citizens. Some folks voiced their concerns and conclusions very loudly, while others just sat and listened to the happenings at the events... and even took notes. I've done a bit of asking questions myself to hopefully share with accuracy what was shared at the open house event. Here at this link is the media report from that meeting (I've posted it before).

Below are some tidbits that were also available at the meeting... I'll present the facts presented at the open house event from my source in italics and my two cents in regular font.

The current land owner was issued a water allocation by the state of Arizona's water department (ADWR) 3 times greater than what the solar plant would use. Obviously the state government here in Arizona thinks there is plenty of water to USE.

The solar power plant recycles the water used 58 times before it is all evaporated. Makes me wonder just how many times the water worry warts recycle their water before it is evaporated. Might have to ask them (maybe they will answer that question since they won't answer the 'When??' question).

Hualapai Valley Solar (HVS) shared studies that concluded after 30 years of operation the effect on the aquifer water level will drop 10 inches. Well imagine if they didn't recycle the water 58 times!! Hey water worry warts... what are you doing to ensure a future water supply??

According to the worst case of water use by HVS (3,000 acre feet of water a year for 30 years) they would only use 90,000 (THOUSAND) acre feet of water. Hmm... still sounds like a lot to you?? You'll love the next one...

According to the hydrologist report that studied the aquifer there is 15,800,000 (that is MILLION) acre feet of water stored... above 1,200 feet and a total of 27,700,000 (again MILLION) acre feet of storage overall. Let's do the math... 90,000 acre feet (used over 30 years) divided by 15,800,000 acre feet in storage equals (in terms of percentage) 0.0056962% of the available water in the aquifer above 1,200 feet. That's it. All these scare tactics being used by the water worry warts for six one/thousandths of a percentage?? Me thinks thou dost protest too much. My next question is, what else should we do with all that water??

Ready for more?? The next bit comes from the public summary that was shared at the open house event (and this is how it was sent to me)....

AVAILABLE GROUNDWATER SUPPLY (per E.L. Montgomery hydrologists)

--Groundwater is stored in thick alluvial deposits that fill the Hualapai basin
--Projected raw water demand (WORST CASE) = 3,000 AF/yr average = 1,860 gpm continuously
--Conceptual plan includes 3 wells plus 1 backup
--Projected life of solar plant (FOR ANALYSIS) = 30 yrs
--Total groundwater use over time = 90,000 AF / 30 yrs
--Groundwater recharge/discharge and storage in basin
  • Natural Recharge equals Natural Discharge = 3,800 AF/yr (I don't know what that means)
  • Groundwater in Storage above depth of 1,200 feet = 15.8 million AF
  • Groundwater in Storage above bedrock and salt = 27.7 million AF

(I added the link above to the hydrologist)

I could easily stop right here and go no further. If this information is correct, and I'm not here to say that it is or it isn't, the debate is over. Face it folks, you could hold your breath waiting for this sort of information from the water worry warts but all you will end up with is a purple face, then you'll pass out (I'd rather use cocktails to get to the pass out stage).

But I'm not going to stop right here. Things have changed since the beginning of July when the article that I linked to earlier first appeared. We now know that HVS is looking into perhaps using the waste water that Kingman creates as the water source to generate 'green' energy.

Why?? I can't say for certain but judging by things that have been said in public meetings at the City Council chambers in the last month it seems that the treated waste water would be more advantageous for HVS to use. You see the groundwater that might be used will need to be heavily treated because it has a ton of minerals and other things I don't really have any knowledge of. It will require more water to treat the groundwater because it needs more treatment than the treated waste water that the citizen of Kingman make every time they flush the toilet (got that??). I heard our city leaders talk about 'A' water and 'B' water... and honestly I don't know the difference (but I'm guessing I would if I came in contact with both variety's).

It now sounds as if all goes well for HVS and they decide that it would be better for them to use the waste water from Kingman... and can build a pipeline to get it from point A to point B, it means HVS will use far less groundwater than they shared at their public open house events.

Sorta makes me wonder what happens with our the water in the sewage ponds currently. Doesn't it just evaporate?? If that is true, wouldn't it be great if that water could be used another 58 times to total 59 uses?? All in the name of 'green' energy, jobs, investment, opportunity, and the increased tax base... oh my.

Bottom line here, I don't know how accurate any of this information is... but it is information and it was shared at public meetings, according to my unnamed source (I'm a regular Sy Hersch I guess). I'd be more than happy to share more information about this kind of stuff. So if you got some, send it to me (there is an 'email Todd' link on the sidebar, it is easy like Sunday morning).

Hey, I make this offer to the water worry warts as well. Send me what you got. I'll share it, but please lay off the rhetoric. I've already posted all that stuff you've already shared.

We should all be trying to get to the bottom of this issue... because it certainly sounds like we are wasting our time trying to get to the bottom of the aquifer... none of us will live long enough.

Will need new scissors...

Time again to break out the scissors, not even 24 hours later than the last time I needed to put them to good use.

This time it is the Kingman Daily Loyd. Over the months that I have been going back and forth with Loyd I've tried my best to keep the level of discourse at a high level of respect. I find that more difficult to do even after all the labels he has tried to pin on me and the industry and business I have chosen to involve myself in. There can be no doubt, Loyd can play the blame game as well as anyone that has ever walked the planet.

His latest blog submission from yesterday was very disrespectful to me, even though he did not include my name in his publication. It was rather easy to read between the lines though. Loyd has decided to start a movement of elderly people against younger people... something I do not believe has ever been the case nor should it be. It is certainly not found in my writing or on this blog.

I realize that he'll point to this MOCO blog post to say I'm wrong about that. The truth is that once Loyd started carrying on last week like a school girl with a skinned knee on a playground, I typed in a web search for 'people falling asleep' and came up with the updated photo that I put below a Mohave Tea Party linked photo that Loyd manipulated. If you want to see the photo that Loyd didn't want you to see, click here. And as I said in my blog post from last week...

I say some because I'm certain that after a few meetings exposed to only rhetoric about the status of groundwater, many will walk away from this band. Quite a cross section of the population eh?? I'm guessing most aren't suffering the effects of the efforts to kill development and other positive growth in the area. Are you really going to let a group like this dictate terms??


The only shot across the bow I took was one regarding the empty rhetoric that no doubt was offered at the meeting. No doubt that some wise folks at that original meeting will leave that group once they realize that the groups only intention is to limit growth opportunities in Mohave County and interfere with property rights and free enterprise.

Am I calling for a figurative fight?? You bet I am. I know many other locals that are critically concerned about their own property rights that are in jeopardy, I know many that are infuriated because of the disrespect shown to private free enterprise interests that are (or were) considering this area for new developments and opportunities. The cross section of these folks includes many in the age range that Loyd believes I am against simply because of age. Well, Loyd, you are as wrong as you have ever been. Property rights and free enterprise do not discriminate against age... they are basic fundamental principles this country and this state were founded on. I want those rights and principles protected from those that simply want the rights for no fair exchange... and Loyd... that IS YOU.

Time for some cutting and pasting. I almost need industrial strength cutting and bonding for this one... but as we know industry is a bad word to a select few in this area. I'll make do with what I have...

Friday, August 14, 2009

Label Pinners Running Short of Clips
Loyd Peterson

I get hard pressed to resolve the logic that some use to arrive at the positions they embrace. It is as if they go into their closet and ponder their huge assortment of hats, grab one that strikes their fancy without one thought whether it goes with the rest of their garb.


You get hard pressed to see the logic Loyd?? Look up private property rights. Look up the importance of free enterprise. Then get a new hat.

But, given what I see on the streets, there just are no rules any longer -- it's grab it, flaunt it and if you have a problem with it -- your problem! That pretty much sums up the boiling over pot that can no longer contain the seething resentment building in the youth camp against the aged – not just in Kingman, AZ but undeniably around the world.


Nice propaganda there Loyd. Chairman Mao would be pleased. Freedom is inherently American and it has been fought for and many have made the ultimate sacrifice for it. I'm deeply grateful for all that have served to keep this nation as free as it is (and that includes you Loyd).

I have no resentment against the 'aged' as you say. None at all. I do, however, have resentment for those that are jeopardizing my rights (and that includes you Loyd).

As an aside, I'll let you in on why I'm against Obamacare for instance. From what I know about the so called plan to overhaul health care in this country... I see it as a way to limit care to the elderly. If I'm right, the plan is as evil and wrong as anything we've ever seen. Now I may not like paying into some government programs that are no doubt going to bankrupt the federal government (social security, medicare, and medicaid) but I do anyway. I believe that your generation (and older) were made certain promises by a previous stupid government pushing obvious Ponzi schemes and I'm willing to help fulfill that promise with a smile on my face while I think of my Grandfather (age 90), my Dad (age 79), and my Mom (age 62)... all who are alive today and two of them have been on various forms of government promised Ponzi scheme plans for health care and retirement for years (FDR is an icon... Madoff goes to jail... for the same things).

Really sounds like I hate the old people doesn't it Loyd??

Moving back to the lunacy of Loyd's blog post...

That is quite a dramatic change from the fifties when respect across the board was afforded as a matter of course. But, the seeds of rebellion were already planted I suppose with the huge success of actors such as James Dean and Marlon Brando a half century ago. Their testy and provoking movies became cult classics marking the start of a societal shift that to this day continues to widen the chasm that separates us based on age.


Brando and Dean have had zero effect on my life. Loyd... you are just rambling.

The trashed economy does nothing more than exacerbate a problem that was not created by the age gap, but by greed -- a grievous human trait shared by both the young and the old alike, as it has been for eons.


You are a quitter and that is what separates us in thought. I've supported new growth for our economy... our local economy... always. I know that locally we can have a positive affect on an otherwise 'trashed' economy. I know this because I constantly see many other local communities push for improving their own economies. Jobs are being created... just not here... just not now. You and your cohorts haven't helped support opportunity... you've defeated opportunity. You threaten to weaken the value of my property even further by demanding the rights of other property owners for no fair exchange. This has NOTHING to do with your age... it has everything to do with your actions (see referendums, etc.).

I get absolutely amused reading the ohh-so-passionate comments by especially the younger set, some of whom have no ability to express themselves with other than hastily coined labels like NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) and WWW (Water Worry Warts).


Sounds like you are the 'ageist' here. You are the one framing it in those terms. No doubt I challenge the thought process of the NIMBY (not a term that I made up... it's been around for a very long time). Last week at county P&Z I witnessed more than one person in opposition to the proposed biofuel plant say that they had no problems with the idea of the new plant... they just didn't want it in their backyard. They defined themselves. I didn't have to. They don't have rights to the property in question... but they sure as heck want those rights. It was what they will be asking the government for. It is wrong and it is un-American.

As for the water worry warts goes... I've been on them to supply something other than rhetoric, empty rhetoric at that to back up their ongoing concerns about water availability in Mohave County. They, including you Loyd, run from that challenge. Loyd you use your handy dandy chart to attempt to prove we have a water problem because the level in ONE well has dropped 60 feet in 40 some years. You never let anyone in on the fact that there is still 400 plus feet of water left in that well. You have nothing but empty rhetoric. I at least supplied the math for different scenarios based on your chart and all showed that there's water in that well that would last for much longer than I'd be alive to use it.

But I'm somehow the bogey-man in this... I'm the 'ageist' right?? Yet I see two of your fellow KDMiner.com bloggers that are closer to your age than to mine (I mean no disrespect Ed and Butch) that have written about positive growth related issues. Have you told them that it would be wiser to hide in a shell like you've told me countless times?? I doubt it. Your whole line of talking is completely fraudulent on this young vs. old campaign you are trying to start. You should be ashamed of yourself.

However, that is a proven tactic and comes almost directly from the radical organizer handbooks of the likes of Saul Alinsky and his "Rules for Radicals" -- a digest for the Have-nots and how to take it away.

Hang a short, highly emotionalized label on those you want to identify as your target group and the masses can focus on it without exhaustive explanation. That is what we have going on right here in Kingman. The opening paragraph of that "Rules" book Alinsky wrote apparently states, "What follows is for those who want to change the world from what it is to what they believe it should be".


Dude, you need to look in the mirror. You've been casting stones my way for a very long time. You've blamed me and anyone else that favors growth for all that is bad in the economy. You're on the side that wants to, in effect, take away property rights and limit free enterprise. These are items you had at your disposal all your life and you want to limit my opportunity. You really need to look in the mirror. All I'm asking for is the continued use and respect for property rights in Arizona and free enterprise in America.

So, there in a nut shell is the wide-brush rendering of the agenda driven movement that is shaping up to be quite a knock-down drag-out contest between the young and able bodied and those that would really prefer to just catch another episode of "Wheel of Fortune".


Your about to find out that many that perhaps watch 'Wheel' are not on your side of these issues. Stay tuned.

Now we are blamed, especially locally, for orchestrating a city devoid of opportunity.

What side are you on for?? Hmm... lets see... the referendum against the Bower/Short property that would have led to jobs and opportunity... the referendum to limit the land use on 168 acres of property the city owns that could have been used for many different and prosperous opportunities... the request to allow for a convenience store in the Tuscany Plaza that would have led to some jobs... the Kingman Crossing project... and now the biofuel plant and the proposed solar plants that offer the opportunity for hundreds of jobs... shall I go on?? Every issue that has come up in the last few years that could have led to positive growth you, and others (NIMBY's and water worry warts), have been against. All along there have been interests at the ready to invest into this community. Where have you been?? Oh that's right... against all of it.

Your attempts at recent revisionist history are pathetic... at best.

Well, we're sorry, but we did not do that -- the economy did it.


Defeating interested parties bent on investing money into this local economy will lead to a bad economy. Each time, every time. Thanks.

The younger attribute far too much power to the older age group. We've also taken it in the teeth to the tune of how many trillions thieved from our retirement savings? We should be allies against our common enemy rather than be divided so that they can conquer us all with relative ease. But no, that would take effort and a sense of fairness.


Actually Loyd, we are allies in many ways on national issues. But for whatever reason you simply do not apply the same principles locally. You wish to deny others of their property rights and opportunities of free enterprise here locally. I'm as pissed as you are about what is happening at the federal level. Meanwhile I look to improve the situation here locally to help survive the lunacy that Congress and the Executive branches of the federal government are attempting. Where are you?? Fighting against freedom and opportunity locally. How mighty selfish of you.

The bottom line is that the elderly could all keel over tomorrow, but the economic woes would remain. Then who will be the next unsuspecting recipient of your ire? At whose feet might you lay your grievance then? The fact is, if it weren't for the money we elders have saved that we are now spending, the economy would be in a hole so deep you couldn't see daylight.


One does not have to be elderly to save money. I've been doing that since I first asked for and was granted a job. Local economic woes will remain as long as there is a void in leadership at the local governmental level (leadership has started to improve greatly lately I must say). Local economic woes will continue as the community is void of voices that wish to welcome new opportunity to the area. I've already outlined the mistakes the community has made over the last few years... and all of which you supported and those actions have indeed hurt this community. I know you are proud of it and again I ask you to wear that badge with honor.

I actually have a larger beef with those that DON'T speak up. I've called out the business community including the Realtors Association, the builders association, the COC, etc. for their lack of voice and support for growth related issues. Many, my guess is, were too busy counting their money not realizing that opportunities would not continue automatically like water through a Kingman area faucet or sprinkler system (you know, no end in sight). The good news is that I'm seeing more voices from the business community perk up and become active, my hope is that it isn't too late to come back from the damage that has been done.

Again Loyd, you are folly to think any what I have done or said is about 'age'.

In the fifties, sixties and seventies we brought great pressure on greedy corporations and made it un-American to ship jobs abroad and import cheap junk from overseas. Yet while you have been playing video games for the past three decades, your world has been robbed from you and genuine opportunity utterly vanquished from your future. Where is your outrage and why is it manifest in this misdirected lashing out at those that have had no part in the dismal circumstances we all are coping with?

Revisionist history at its finest. Again, who is painting the picture here?? Loyd is... and he couldn't be more wrong. Sad really.

There is only one promise for the future of which you can be assured. You too, will join the ranks of the aged, the feeble, the infirm and the helpless. If this resentment continues to grow, you will likely lay in the street, all taken from you by the young and able bodied -- possibly even unto life itself -- right here in America -- the home of the "free" -- as in mostly to others.


There isn't any resentment right now so I'm not sure how it would manifest itself to match the ignorance of your words. I look forward to the day when I can retire, but I know a few decades of work remain until that day comes. I will still be valuing free enterprise and private property rights in the same manner I do today. If able I'll help and support the younger generation acquire the experience and expertise to hopefully lead them to the success that I hopefully can achieve.

If you've taught me one thing Loyd over the many months worth of banter it is this... when I am your age I WILL NOT BE YOU. That realization alone will bring a smile to my face for the rest of my life.

Friday, August 14, 2009

Unsheath thy scissors...

Yep, it is that time again. Time for some cuts and pastes... and rants.

If you weren't aware by now the lead water worry wart was granted a blog at the KDMiner.com website. I'll ask readers right now to pay attention to what is shared at that blog, especially if you need a laugh.

In her latest blog installment she has decided to let someone else speak for her. She offers a letter by another local resident. It is this letter that I will be focusing in on. But if you do end up following the lead water worry wart's blog, do me a favor and ask her when all the water in the aquifers in Mohave County will be gone. I've asked numerous times now and she won't answer me, maybe you'll have better luck. (I don't think she likes me very much)

On to the use of scissors... link here for the whole letter...

CRUNCHING THE NUMBERS ON WATER

By: Robert Fenwick

The good people that live in Mohave County and Kingman have been told that the two solar plants that they want to build in our backyard will be good for us.


I could simply stop here. Mr. Fenwick has already identified himself as a NIMBY with his first sentence. If NIMBY's are good at anything it is demanding the rights of other property owners without offering anything in exchange for said rights. I'm sorry folks, but this truly is unAmerican in my view.

The water that will be used to cool these two plants will come from our aquifers.


Back once again is the popular NIMBY declaration of the 'our' word. Folks we don't own the aquifers or the water, unless of course 'we' are just demanding those rights for nothing in exchange as well like many are attempting to do with other property rights they don't own.

When the math is done on these two projects, it does not look good for the people of Mohave County and Kingman.


Seriously, I won't be pasting one sentence at a time... but yes let us now take a look at the math.

Let’s start with one solar plant using 3000 acre feet of water per year.


I keep breaking my promise on the one sentence thing, bear with me. Last I heard about one of the solar projects was the need of 2,400 acre feet of water. It doesn't really matter anyway because the state of Arizona already has granted a water allocation to the current land owner that is twice the amount that the solar plant would need. Again, the state of Arizona (the only controlling authority on water use) has already granted way more water use than what these water worry warts are trying to scare you with.

Also, it wasn't that long ago that the water worry warts were throwing around the figure of 4,000 acre feet a year that each proposed solar plant was going to use... now their talking points have it down to 3,000 acre feet. At some point I suspect they'll get to the actual reported usage figure. More on this at the end of this post.

One acre foot of water is 327,000 gallons.


Yeah, I know. But I had to here. This figure is wrong. The correct conversion of one acre foot of water into US gallons is 325,851. Sure it is close and perhaps I am splitting hairs a bit, deal with it.

3000 acre feet of water times 327,000 gals equals 981,000,000 million gallons of water per year. That amount of gals comes to 18 million, 900,000 per week when it is divided by 52 weeks. Divide that by 7 and you get 2 million, 700,000 gals per day or 113,000 gals per hour. It will take over four well’s pumping 25,000 gals per hour to cool this plant. And as the saying goes, it will go up in smoke/steam.


See, a multi sentence cut and paste. You knew I could do it, I knew I could do it.

So let's check the math using actual numbers reported and correct. 2,400 acre feet of water times 325,851 gallons equals 782,042,400 gallons of water per year. That amount of gallons comes to 15 million, 39 thousand, 277 (I rounded up to the nearest whole unit) gallons per week when it is divided by 52 weeks. Divide that by 7 and you get 2 million, 148 thousand, 468 (Yep I rounded up again to the nearest whole number) gallons per day or 89,520 gallons per hour. As the saying goes, do the math -- but start with the right data.

Mohave County and the desert around the west have been in a very severe drought for the last ten years. When we have no rain there is none put back in the Hualapai aquifer. One only has to look at Lake Mead to figure that out. What is going on above the ground is the same thing going on below the ground. THINK REALLY BAD DROUGHT!


Yes, we live in a desert and we are in the midst of a drought... and we still have water. Hard to tell how much water is left though because this fair letter writer never even offers a guess. I know, shocking. I ask that you continue to ask the question of the water worry warts. Without an answer from them, their arguments are hollow.

The city of Kingman water plant serves 45,000 people and uses 8,000 to 9,000 acre feet of water per year. These two plants will use in a little over a year’s time the same amount of water that is used in Kingman for a year. The water these two plants will use, as stated before will go up in smoke (steam). No cold drink or a shower.


Actually the last official report about water in this area indicated that 11,000 acre feet of water is used a year... without the solar plants (or even the soon to be new vodka distillery). While it does appear true that the water used at the solar plants will be used for steam, it will also be used to generate green energy and provide jobs for many people in our area. For me it is a fair exchange given that no one on the water worry wart side of things can even begin to guess how much water is left in the aquifers in the first place. I've done the math too, based on official state reports (linking again) and by all equations there is an adequate amount of water sources available to the citizens of Mohave County even with two new solar plants that need a heavy use of water.

BTW, I don't take cold showers. I mean it is impossible here this time of year. But I'm sure I'll enjoy a cold drink at some point (it is Friday).

I don’t care if you are a Democrat or a Republican, pick up a rock and give it a squeeze; no water will come out of it. That is what we will be left with if these solar plants are given the right to suck the water out of the aquifer. They will take the water, make their profits and ride off in the sunset when the water is all gone.


When??

The time has come for our elected officials in the county and city to give this a lot more thought before letting this happen. There is a reason this is a desert. Lots of land, small amount of water. Do not give the water away and get nothing because that is what is being done now.


Small amount of water?? Really?? Where is your source on that Mr. Fenwick?? Why didn't you include it in your letter??

Also who is giving away water right now?? I live in Kingman and get a water bill every month. I'm giving back. If I lived out in the areas without water utility service I'd either have to drill a well or pay someone to deliver water to me. In either case there is a fair exchange for services. You see, land owners also own the rights to the water underneath the land in this state... that is as long as they can get to water on their land. The water worry warts are doing their darndest to take these rights away from property owners for nothing in exchange. It is wrong, it is certainly not American.

The state of Arizona has already granted a much larger water allocation for water use on the land the solar power generator will be located at. A nice little fact that continues to be ignored by the water worry warts.

Nothing more than baseless rhetoric from the water worry wart brigade.

Thanks for reading this.

Robert Fenwick

Long Mountain, Mohave County

Remember, once the water is gone it will never come back.


Oh, you betcha Mr. Fenwick... thanks for sharing your empty rhetoric with me (and faulty math conclusions based on faulty information).

Also you ask me to remember that when the water is gone it will never come back... well... when will the water be gone??

I referred to something earlier in this post that I wanted to explain further after I was done with all the empty rhetoric.

Read this link...

The plant's water usage has been the primary sticking point among local residents concerned that the aquifer cannot sustain such large scale projects without suffering substantial depletion.

(Kingman City Manager Jack) Kramer said the solar plant is looking to use upwards of 2,500 acre-feet of water, or more than 800 million gallons each year, and that Hilltop could supply as much as 1,700 acre-feet of the total required, with a roughly 60/40 split between A-plus effluent and B effluent.

"We could probably deliver somewhere around a million and a half gallons a day," (Kingman Mayor John) Salem said.

"In some of the areas, some of the test wells, the B effluent could be in better shape than what they might be pumping out of the aquifer."


If you are wondering what this refers to well I let you in. One of the solar power plants has approached the city to possibly use the waste water (that I help create on a daily basis) to generate power. Not the water that is in the aquifers. According to the above, Kingman might be able to offer 1,700 acre feet of treated waste water a year.

If this is true the solar plant would not be using 4,000 or 3,000 or even 2,400 acre feet of water from the aquifers a year. More like 700 acre feet a year. Want to do the math again?? If you do it won't be nearly as 'scary' as the water worry warts want it to be.

To top that off... if Kingman already had a larger population it would be possible that all of the water needed to run the solar plant could be provided by the treated waste water. ALL OF THE WATER!! Thank goodness the fine community political action committee's put an end to new growth projects for the last couple of years (yes, I'm being sarcastic).

Yet here we have a few riled up water worry warts telling us that new industry is only interested in Kingman to use up all of 'our' water. Willing to kill a project that would expand the tax base here in Mohave County (folks in Havasu and Bullhead are you paying attention??) and perhaps threatening the chances at improving the services that are provided. At the same time they are demanding the rights of others that aren't theirs to begin with for no fair exchange in order to be granted those rights. Marx would be proud of that effort.

Folks... do you think we have a real water supply problem facing us right now?? Please, if so, share it with me... just leave out the empty rhetoric. Seriously, if it was possible to turn the rhetoric into water the whole valley would be flooded out with barely any time to build an ark.

Econ development news...

Of course not in Mohave County... but you knew that already. It is time again for a look at other community efforts for economic activity, just to help prove that it is always the right time to fight for such noble things.

City and community officials praise economic development project in southeast Raleigh
Farmington Square Shopping Center Opens in Southeast Raleigh


08.12.2009 – Raleigh, NC— A coalition of business and community service organizations have joined together to implement a major economic development project for southeast Raleigh. The first phase of a three phase project opened in early August (a large retail shopping center), and is scheduled for completion in December. In subsequent phases Isha Developments plans to build affordable housing and a Senior Living community.

“Our motto is, ‘Building Prosperity for Humanity,’ and that is exactly what we intend to do in southeast Raleigh,” said Jawahar Muniyandi, CEO of Isha Developments. “There is no reason that business cannot profit while being a good neighbor and giving back to the community.”


No reason at all... unless of course you are a NIMBY that relies on empty rhetoric to scare the folks into thinking something else. Happens around Kingman all the time and it is now time to put an end to it.

Five-year plan aims to bring in new retail

By KAYLA MATZKE, News-Record Writer kmatzke@gillettenewsrecord.net
Published: Wednesday, August 12, 2009 12:20 PM MDT
The Campbell County Economic Development Corp. has embarked on a five-year economic development plan that could attract more retail businesses to the area.

Based on what citizens’ concerns and demands are for the local economy, the new plan could include ways to attract more day care centers, more shopping spots or whatever concerns there are from citizens.

“What the initiatives are we don’t know,” said Philippe Chino, the agency’s executive director.

Chino described the five-year economic development plan as a “road map of what we’re going to do in the next five years.”

There’s never been an economic development plan like this before in Gillette, Chino said.


Nor is there one here in Kingman, unless of course you are thinking of the NIMBY economic plan that's just been working like gangbusters eliminating jobs and forcing many good neighbors to move out of the area.

As We See It: County's No. 1 issue -- economic development
-
Posted: 08/12/2009 01:30:32 AM PDT

Anyone wondering what the No. 1 issue is in Santa Cruz County would have found the answer Sunday in Capitola.

To understand that economic development far outweighs any other concerns for local residents, you didn't have to look further than the Kohl's job fair.

The department store chain, which is opening sometime in late September in the Capitola Mall at the old Mervyns site, was interviewing applicants for 150 part-time jobs.

The company set up a hiring office and gave interview slots to 250 applicants -- out of an estimated 1,000 job-seekers.

Now that's a lot of people seeking a job in the retail industry.


The NIMBY snobs of Mohave County will tell you that retail jobs are shide and we don't want any of that crap around here. They'll also tell you to hide in a shell.

This next share is in a Q&A format and I'll just share a couple, read the whole thing of course...

Grayslake leader talks development
Daily Herald Staff Report

Q. What is your community's single greatest asset or selling point to potential developers?

A. Among the village's greatest assets is its central location and its pro-economic development attitude and the amount of available acreage for nonresidential development.

Q. Have the challenges presented by the current downturn forced you and your community to approach economic development differently? What are the changes and how well are they working?

A. The current conditions have not really affected the village's approach. We focus on economic development during good conditions and bad.


An attitude adjustment around Kingman is three years overdue.

DCDC executive discusses city’s economic development

By MELECIO FRANCO
Updated: 08.11.09
Dayton Community Development Corporation Executive Director Chris Potter discussed the history of economic development from the time of Stephen F. Austin to the present during the Dayton Chamber of Commerce monthly luncheon held on Aug. 4.

Potter began his discussion by describing Stephen F. Austin as the first economic developer of Texas who brought 300 families to the region. He said that in the past, economic incentives were offered based on the size of families while now they are based on the number of jobs created.


Here in Kingman, for the past few years, economic incentives are never offered... unless what you mean by economic incentives is drastically higher development fees imposed on growth related projects.

Don't let the NIMBY's win folks... or the water worry warts... or those that like to play hide in the shell games.

If other communities are working towards improving the local economic activity conditions, we should be demanding that our city and county leaders are doing the same thing.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

July Sales Report (2009)

For this report I'm going to let the data speak for itself mostly. Nothing very notable from previous months. All in all this summer is shaping up to be the most active in a few years.

So without further delay... the disclaimer...

Disclaimer... all data compiled for this report comes from the WARDEX Data Exchange and does not include any sales activity from outside that resource. All research is done only on single family homes and there is no inclusion of modular homes, commercial properties, or vacant land. The geographical area researched includes; all areas within the boundaries of the city of Kingman, north Kingman, the Hualapai Mountain area, and the Valle Vista subdivisions. Click here to see maps of the included area's.

Listings and sales in units chart:

After a couple of months of these data lines moving closer together sadly they again drift far apart. Not good for sellers, traditional or otherwise.

Average listings and sales averages chart:

As I stated in the listing report at the beginning of the month, the listing average for July was skewed due to ten listings with an average asking price of over $500,000. Still, even without the skewed data these lines need to be closer. Buyers are buying, but sellers are having major difficulties selling.

2006 through 2009 unit sales chart:

Sales in units fell three short compared to the sales posted in July of 2006, but were up compared to last years mark of 51. I was hoping to see this years number up in the 70's like the previous month, but maybe August will surprise us.

Sales in July of 2009 were up 22% compared to the previous year.

2006 through 2009 average price chart:

Average sale prices are as close to something resembling something stable since 2006, minus $100,000 or so. The trend line still shows an easing off in average sold prices so far in 2009. Depending on who you talk to, affordability is back in the mix for more buyers. Keep an eye on foreclosure activity though, national reports indicate that foreclosure rates jumped again from June to July. Will be interesting to see if that holds true in our local market.

The average sales price in July of 2009 is off 43% from the number posted last year.

2006 through 2009 median price chart:

The median price fell 36% compared to July of last year.

Final sales prices in July 2009 ranged from $30,000 to $266,000.

Average SFR statistics:

Data tables for all sales tracked in July 2009

Price Data
ItemJuly '09
Average Price per Unit Sold $108,348
Median Price per Unit Sold $98,500
Average Price per Square Foot $71

House Data
Item June '09
Ave Living Space per Square Foot 1,517
Bedrooms3.1
Bathrooms2
Garage1.8
Year Built 1993

Marketing Data
ItemJune '09
Days on Market to Contract 107
Days on Market to Close 151
Price Reductions on Market $11,885
Negotiated Price Concessions $6,506
Total Price Concessions $18,391
Total Percent Conceded
14.5%

Bonus Charts:

Foreclosure Impact:

Traditional Seller vs. Bank Owned sales comparison for June 2009

Price Data
ItemTraditional Seller
Bank Owned
Total Units Sold in Month
31
31
Average Price per Unit Sold $128,603$88,092
Median Price per Unit Sold $117,750$75,000
Average Price per Square Foot $82$60

House Data
Item Traditional SellerBank Owned
Ave Living Space per Square Foot 1,5601,475
Bedrooms33.16
Bathrooms22.1
Garage21.5
Year Built 19941993

Marketing Data
ItemTraditional Seller Bank Owned
Days on Market to Contract 15559
Days on Market to Close 201101
Price Reductions on Market $14,406$9,365
Negotiated Price Concessions $9,281$3,731
Total Price Concessions $23,687$13,096
Total Percent Conceded15.5%
13%

Wrap Up:

As I said earlier I'm letting the data speak for itself. It is an interesting summer in our local housing market with many challenges for all parties; buyers, sellers, banks, Realtors, and anyone else dabbling in the market. My feeling is that the market is still searching for a bottom yet it is keeping one eye on the near term future. Foreclosures, interest rates, credit availability, and of course the job market will all play a key role in the near future making it difficult to predict the practically unpredictable.

See you next time.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Local property rights still under assault, but...



I just returned from today's Mohave County Planning and Zoning meeting where the hot topic was the proposed biofuel plant east of Kingman and over a mile away from any major residential areas.

The county meeting room was fairly full and I have to say that there were more folks opposed to the biofuel plant in attendance, not that it really matters. Many voices were still heard that favored the needed changes to allow the project to move forward.

Voices included the mayor of Kingman, John Salem, who stood up for needed growth that promises more opportunity locally. His words offered real leadership to many, his concerns are about moving the local economy forward. Another elected leader also spoke up for new opportunities like the biofuel plant that promise more jobs and expansion of the tax base and I was certainly glad to hear those comments from Kingman City Councilwoman Robin Gordon.

Kingman certainly needs leaders and it was inspiring to see two such leaders speak up for all in the area that are hopeful for a better future.

The central arguments against the biofuel plant were the potential danger of a fire or explosion and simply the NIMBY element. One intelligent woman that spoke in opposition admitted that she was not against biofuel plants and even mentioned that they would be welcome in Mohave County... just not where the one that is proposed is located. Classic NIMBY.

What I witnessed was a group of people demanding the P&Z commission to deny the rights of another property owner. Of course that is as un-American as it can get.

I have a possible solution for the folks out in the Valle Vista area that are opposed to the plant and who wish to take the rights of the property owner in question that intends to build the biofuel plant. Simply write a letter of intent to purchase Mr. Neal's property for agreed to value so he can then purchase land at another location (complete with a one mile rail spur that is needed for the project) with the already correct zoning. Then simply raise the HOA dues by $1000 a year or so for a couple of years so that the money can be collected to pay Mr. Neal for not only his property, but the rights to his property.

Yeah, it's highly doubtful that those that will be asking the government to take away the property rights of an individual away won't want to actually pay for those rights.

Proponents of the biofuel plant were often interrupted as they were trying to speak in front of the commissioners, the commission chair had to tap the gavel many times throughout this mornings public meeting. So not only were private property rights disrespected but so was the right to speak.

I hope moving forward that more proponents for new opportunity, job growth, and community health come out to support the issue when it appears before the Board of Supervisors. Please remember to be courteous to those that may oppose your views, even as they don't offer the same respect.

This is a good fight, a fair one, and now more are joining the side that protects the rights of ALL property owners. Good days ahead.

I did not stick around for the decisions made by the commissioners. This issue will be in front of the voter elected Board of Supervisors soon where decisions are more formal.

Related:

Another voter elected leader chimed in on the issue of fairness this morning in an article at the KDMiner.com here.

Thursday, August 06, 2009

Please watch this video...

Like many of you I am concerned about water in Mohave County. Mostly the future because right now we have plenty to use.

I urge you to please watch this video linked here.

While it doesn't exactly speak to the needs of Mohave County's future water issues, if you have an open mind you will easily understand what is in store in the very NEAR future... not only for Mohave County -- but for the entire world.

It's a very interesting 10 minute video. After watching it you will understand why we, here in Mohave County, will NEVER RUN OUT OF WATER.

See... I'm willing to at least answer the easy question of -- when??

I simply have more faith in what we CAN do, not what we can't.

Take a good look... (UPDATED)

Here are some of the NIMBY's working against your opportunities here in Kingman.


As you can see the photo of this event is no longer available to use at MOCO. Luckily for me though I had a spy at the same meeting that took a different photo that appears below...


END OF EDIT

I say some because I'm certain that after a few meetings exposed to only rhetoric about the status of groundwater, many will walk away from this band. Quite a cross section of the population eh?? I'm guessing most aren't suffering the effects of the efforts to kill development and other positive growth in the area. Are you really going to let a group like this dictate terms??

Less than 30 people gathered Tuesday evening to form a more structured body to assert positive action in preserving natural resources in Mohave County. The focus is primarily on water issues involved with the proposed concentrated solar electric generating plants and concern was also raised with the bio-fuels plant proposed near Valle Vista. Denise Bensusan was elected to serve as the group's first president.


Betcha none of these folks, not even their so called president, will answer the simple question of -- when??

Don't let these folks win. We will all lose.

Wednesday, August 05, 2009

Can we take care of our own??

Feels like this in Kingman now to some degree.

I've highlighted the great words of the Mayor in a recent post. To me, he gets it. Kingman needs to have others 'get' it too.

If you look closer at the billboard from a tired old age, you will see that the Chamber of Commerce put it up. Our own local CoC needs to show some leadership and take a real stand on these rather important issues. I'm not trying to take them to task, they are not the NIMBY's that want the outcome pictured above... but they need to join the fight.

The local Realtor Association also needs to step up the efforts. I know this, I've been there. The Realtors have made some strides internally, but need to make more. I believe they are headed in the right direction. Again, these folks are not the NIMBY's that have hurt this community, but the time to stand up for this community is right now (there is an election next year and it will be here before you know it).

The builders association has put in plenty of time and effort, but they as well need to do more. Of all the proponents for growth in Kingman, these folks have the most on the line and have already lost the most. While city council has promised to reexamine the costly 'impact fees' so far they haven't. The builders simply cannot allow the issue to die on the vine.

The time is now to win some battles, Kingman cannot survive without supporting new industry and commercial opportunities. The rallying cry should simply be about job opportunities.

Can we take care of our own??

Update:

This article was referenced by Donna in the comments. Link here. First line of the article...

KINGMAN - A report released last week by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that local unemployment has risen to its highest level in more than 15 years.

Tuesday, August 04, 2009

NIMBY's strike back...

See folks, it's on. This is why efforts are needed to fight the water worry warts, NIMBY's, and empty rhetoric types.

The new NIMBY strategy is to paint the Mayor, who has spoke up clearly on needed growth issues, as a candidate pandering for campaign contributions. Of course doing so without a shred of evidence... just like their so called arguments/rhetoric on water -- no substantial evidence backing up their talking points.

See this comment at the KDMiner.com website for this article...

Posted: Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Article comment by: TALK ABOUT RIDICULOUS

Dont forget Salems attitude about the future of kingman at election time. Anyone that cant see the genuine concern over water issues is just simple minded and seeking the finacial support (campaign contributions) of those businesses that dont care about the future of your grandchildren! Just like these solar plants.......


Disgusting.

Bottom line, it is time to back the leaders in the community that are sticking up for us. We have one right now... and hopefully others on the council and at the county will also speak up on issues this important to the community. If or when they do, back them too.

We are left with no choice other than to push back against the NIMBY's that have been costing our community opportunities that lead to such things as employment and beyond. These were the folks that wanted to see an end to growth, and now we see how it has negatively affected our friends and families.

See through the thin veil and notice that none of this is about water, the future, or even grandchildren. This is about them and their selfish ways. Many already have 'theirs' and could care less if you ever even had a chance to earn yours. These are not neighborly people.

They are out to limit your opportunity... don't let them.

Monday, August 03, 2009

The typical NIMBY reaction...


The water worry warts, a.k.a the NIMBY's are reacting to the Mayor's quote. See if you think they make any sense... (forwarded to me via email)

MAYOR OF KINGMAN CALLING CONCERNS OVER WATER AND ENVIRONMENT "RIDICULOUS" There are plenty of businesses out there that respect the general public and the environment. While the majority of business out there profit within the counties limited natural resources there are others that simply do not care about your future! The ones that promote their selves without concern for the peoples survival do not deserve our business! The solar plants that Salem caters to current day do NOT need to use the massive amount of water that they plan to produce their product with.......but they REFUSE to do so to increase their net profit by a small margin. Yes folks, the BILLIONS that they will make by destroying our water supply is not enough for them...they want more...and the mayor of Kingman and other elected officials plan to give it to them!


Just once I'd love to see something from this merry little band other than empty rhetoric. I just won't risk holding my breath until I see something.

So easy to refute... all the water worry warts have to do is pay attention. The solar project at Red Lake has approached the city of Kingman to look into using the waste water (i.e. not water from the aquifers) to use as the primary source of needed water to create energy (their 'product'). Ignoring that bit of information, which they constantly do, demeans their entire premise of the argument. These folks want to throw out millions of potential tax dollars that the solar plants would pay into the community.

Don't let them.

If you want to be starting something, you got to be starting something...

I wasn't sure if the Pepsi Max was kicking in or not when I read this piece at the KDMiner.com this morning. Check it out, check it outers...

Tough all over: Business owners talk about survival
Erin Taylor, Miner Staff Reporter

Monday, August 03, 2009

KINGMAN - Even Mayor John Salem isn't immune from a bad economy.

Salem's auto repair shop has gone from 14 employees to just four and revenue has dropped to one-third of what it was in 2002.

"You're having a hard time paying your bills? Me, too," Salem said. "So's the guy next to you. You're having a hard time getting your revenues up to where they used to be? So am I, so's the guy next to you. We're all facing this horrible economy together."


We were long overdue for a leader to step up and begin the fight.

It gets better...

Small business owners met Wednesday to discuss survival strategies in today's economy. The good news, Salem said, is that things appear to be poised to improve. He implored people to support plans for new biofuels and solar facilities looking to relocate to Kingman. He said meetings for the proposed projects are often hijacked by those against them.

"These people are getting ready to pump millions of dollars into our local economy, and to chase them away because of concerns about water, aesthetics issues and the 'not in my backyard attitude' is ridiculous," Salem said.


It had to start somewhere.

Thank you Mayor.

Sunday, August 02, 2009

Venturing out of the shell...

Loyd sent me the heads up on this comic. Link.


It is almost as if Loyd wrote the thing himself.

Saturday, August 01, 2009

A hard habit to break...

Yeah, I know it is August now but after a month of focusing on blog posts about water related issues I'm finding not posting about water related issues a tough habit to break.

More major announcements on major undertakings on desalination efforts, this time from Australia...

Suez Environnement Wins Bid for Largest Desalination Plant in Australia
Plant will provide one-third of Melbourne’s water needs by end of 2011
July 31, 2009

Through its Degrémont subsidiary and the AquaSure joint venture, the State of Victoria has just awarded Suez Environnement the contract for a seawater desalination plant project that will allow it to provide a third of metropolitan Melbourne’s water needs by the end of 2011.


Seeing more and more of this type of thing all the time. If Arizona interests lead to this sort of possible solution to water needs of Arizona residents... we won't be the first to try such efforts... nor will we pay as high of cost (brush up on econ 101).

This contract is the world’s largest public-private desalination project. It includes financing, design, construction and operation to 2039 for a plant with a capacity of 450,000 cu meters of drinking water per day, as well as an 85-km water distribution network. The total value of the investment is approximately $2.8 billion.


That darned public/private partnership thing again... more and more of this all the time. Seems to work everywhere, but in Kingman. We are just so much smarter here.

Located 80 km from Melbourne on the Bass Strait, the seawater desalination plant will satisfy the Victoria Government’s environmental and energy requirements, applying the latest technologies of Degrémont and its partners.


Heh... environmental and energy requirements.

Over time, an additional treatment line is envisioned, to ensure an increase in drinking water production capacity to 600,000 cu meters per day.


Planning for growth are they?? Mmmmm... probably not by hiding in a shell.

The plant will be completely integrated into its environment and will preserve the natural setting by creating an ecological space and reducing the environmental impact through rooftop gardens, ambitious planting programs for the site and protection of fauna. Moreover, the energy needed for producing and delivering the drinking water will be 100% renewable, generated primarily by a new wind farm in the State of Victoria.


We just must have intellectually non curious environmental types here in Mohave County.

That or they simply do not want to share the area with anyone else and don't have the money to buy up all the private property to ensure their vision of utopia in Mohave County.

Bottom line, there are solutions to whatever problem this area may face in the future as evidenced by the news from all over the planet. It's just hard to see for yourself when you live in a shell and ask that others do the very same thing.

But I can just hear it now... "but Todd, but Todd... it is going to cost money for these types of solutions."

You bet it is... it doesn't get any cheaper though when you continue to fight efforts to bring more tax payers (especially industrial types) to the area to help pay for it.

July Listings Report (2009)

It is the first day of August and I look at the standings to see my beloved Phillies in first place in their division. This doesn't happen every year folks. Last night our newly traded for Cy Young award winning pitcher dominated in his debut. All smiles here on my side as we head into the last couple of months of the baseball season.

Almost makes a guy forget about things like water issues and housing stats... almost.

We'll leave the water stuff out of it for now and bring you the listing and pending report for last month. I'm going to miss July... Phillies went 17 and 5 for the month.

Time now though for the housing data stuff, after the disclaimer deal-io...

Disclaimer... all data compiled for this report comes from the WARDEX Data Exchange and does not include any sales activity from outside that resource. All research is done only on single family homes and there is no inclusion of modular homes, commercial properties, or vacant land. The geographical area researched includes; all areas within the boundaries of the city of Kingman, north Kingman, the Hualapai Mountain area, and the Valle Vista subdivisions. Click here to see maps of the included area's.

Data tables for all new listings tracked in the month of July 2009

As of August 1 Total Listings on Market
Item Total Units
Previous Month
Total Listings On Market
445 429
Total Listings Listed as Foreclosed
68 54

New Listing Data
Item Month of July Previous Month
New Listings Total
130 108
New Listings Listed as Foreclosed
49 41
Average Asking Price Per Unit
$177,634 $151,747
Median Asking Price
$125,900 $120,400
Average Asking Price Per Square Foot
$104 $93
Units Re-Listed
14
7
Units Already Under Contract
22
17

New Listing House Data
Item Month of July Previous Month
Living Area Square Footage
1,701 1,629
Bedrooms 3.15 3.0
Bathrooms 2.18 2.06
Garage
2.181.9
Year Built
19951996


Price Range of New Listings in July
Item Lowest Highest
Listings$32,900$895,000

The data figure that may jump out at you is the much higher average listing price. July was just one of those months that saw many higher priced offerings hit the market. There were 10 new listings that showed with an asking price of over $400,000. In fact the average price for those 10 listings is $564,820. Even with a higher number of listings in July, over $5 million dollars worth of inventory for 10 listings will skew the average.

The median price moved up a bit as well, but well within reason.

Of the 22 new listings in July that are already under contract, 14 of them were of the foreclosed variety. Foreclosures are still getting it done... only the Phillies were better in July.

Data tables for all new Units under contract tracked in the month of July 2009

As of August 1 Total Units Under Contract
Item Total Units
Previous Month
Total Units Under Contract
139 139
Total Contracts Listed as Foreclosed
62 61

Units Under Contract Data
Item Month of July Previous Month
New Contracts Total
82 74
New Contracts Listed as Foreclosed
41 38
Average Marketing Price Per Unit
$124,010 $130,376
Median Marketing Price
$104,900 $104,900
Average Marketing Price Per Square Foot
$80 $79
Days on Market to Acquire a Contract
100
106
Average Marketing Price Reduction
$14,227
$10,864

New Units Under Contract House Data
Item Month of July Previous Month
Living Area Square Footage
1,552 1,642
Bedrooms 3.02 3.1
Bathrooms 2.11 2.1
Garage
2.052.0
Year Built
19961994


Price Range of New Pending Contracts in June
Item Lowest Highest
Listings$23,900$319,000

Good momentum in the new pending contracts continues, plenty of strong activity since March. The average marketing price of a home that won a contract in July was down and half of the new contracts were written on foreclosed properties. A good month for traditional sellers however, it was the first time that they represented at least half of the new contracts in many months. On average, sellers had to reduce price by a larger amount than the contracts agreed to in the previous month of June.

So let's take a look at year over year data now...

Year over year data listings/pending contracts

Listings
ItemUP/DOWN
unit/dollar amount
Percentage
Total Listings DOWN149
(25%)
New Listings in July
EVEN
0
0
Average Price per New Listing
DOWN$26,818
(13.1%)
Median List Price
DOWN
$39,100
(23.7%)


Pending Contracts
ItemUP/DOWNunit/dollar amountPercentage
Total Pending Contracts UP
49
54%
New Contracts for JulyUP32
64%
Average Marketing Price per Unit
DOWN$33,429
(21.2%)
Median Marketing Price DOWN$25,100
(19.3%)

The inventory is down a quarter from last year, a very good thing. New contracts are up over 50% from last year, another really good thing. And July of 2009 slaughtered July of 2008 in terms of positive activity.

No doubt that these price levels are bringing out more buyers, however I can still see where prices may continue to soften and if so then I suspect we will see even more activity.

A bit of caution though, the last couple of months has seen a slight rise in total inventory on the market. This market is still out of balance for the amount of buyers in the market. Sellers, especially traditional sellers, are not out of the woods yet.

Traditional sellers are competing against 9 months of available listings just amongst other traditional sellers.

On the other hand, foreclosure inventory is less than one months worth. For banks, it is a sellers market basically. The average foreclosure listing that won a contract in July only needed an average of 53 days on the market to find a buyer. Meanwhile the traditional sellers that found a buyer needed 144 days of market time on average.

You'll know when the price is right.

See you next month...

Friday, July 31, 2009

What industry can do for water...

I found an online article some time ago and saved it in my bookmarks. I knew I might need to look at it again then but wasn't sure why. Well, because I made this month of July an unofficial water worry month at the MOCO blog, I think sharing some of it now is appropriate.

This article is an in depth look at water issues and it is titled Aquifers and Rivers Are Running Dry: How Three Regions Are Coping. It is a great read and really does offer two sides to the story so please read it all... the goods and the bads.

I'm going to cut an paste quite a bit below. I offer no other comments other than keep and open mind as to why big business, big industry, and big development might be just THE sort of neighbors we want around these parts as we look to securing the future water needs for the community.

Below an excerpt from the article... Enjoy...

On the descent into Sky Harbor International Airport, Phoenix's endless grid of streets and tract homes is etched into the desert floor like the imprinted surface of a microchip. When the sunlight hits at the right angle, the canals that zigzag across the landscape light up like semiconductor traces surging with electricity.

And Phoenix is sprawling at a rate that seems to rival Moore's law. In the 1990s, the metro area was growing at the rate of an acre every three hours. The population is expected to nearly double in the next 20 years. But cities, unlike microchips, don't double in efficiency every 18 months. A 2007 government report stated that staggering growth in the American Southwest "will inevitably result in increasingly costly, controversial, and unavoidable trade-off choices." The issue: how to parcel out a dwindling water supply.

The city's chief water sources are the Salt River Project and the Central Arizona Project, two massive water systems that bookend a century-long effort to hydrate the region. The Salt River Project began in 1903 with the Roosevelt Dam, which reined in the flood-prone waterway. Today, the SRP is a vast network of reservoirs, hydroelectric dams, and channels. As for the Central Arizona Project, it's one of the largest and most expensive aqueducts in the US, completed in 1993 at a cost of $3.6 billion. The 336-mile CAP canal diverts 489 billion gallons a year from the Colorado River, irrigating more than 300,000 acres of farmland and slaking the thirst of Phoenix and Tucson.

The CAP isn't the only straw sucking at the Colorado. Seven states and dozens of Indian reservations, as well as Mexico, tap its flow. Development has sapped the river, a problem exacerbated by a drought called "perhaps the worst in 500 years" by US interior secretary Gale Norton. Lake Mead, an immense reservoir that dams the Colorado to supply most of Phoenix's water, has a 50-50 chance of running dry by 2021, according to a study by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography. Larry Dozier, the CAP's deputy general manager, calls this finding "absurd," claiming that studies show the reservoir won't disappear entirely, even in the worst case. However, the Scripps researchers counter that their calculations are conservative and warn that "the water shortage is likely to be more dire in reality."

Chandler, a city on the southeastern edge of Phoenix, epitomizes the regional dilemma. Founded in 1912 to accommodate farmers who ventured into the Sonoran Desert, Chandler supports a population that has tripled in the past 20 years to 250,000. On the outskirts of town, where the last remaining farms fade into the scrub, stand three colossal Intel semiconductor manufacturing plants: Fab 12, Fab 22, and the gleaming new Fab 32, which produces state-of-the-art chips on a floor area equivalent to 17 football fields. Intel is a key driver of the local economy. The company employs 10,000 people and has invested $9 billion in Chandler; its workers, on average, earn four times the Arizona median salary. Just one problem: The fabs are also by far the city's biggest consumer of water.

Chip fabrication is a thirsty process. The silicon wafers must be rinsed after each of the several dozen semiconductor layers is applied and etched. Consequently, the Intel campus has been designed to maximize every drop of the 2 million gallons it uses daily. Intel, wary of spilling its manufacturing secrets, bars journalists from entering the enormous silver and white monolith. Fortunately, the plant's circulatory system is visible from the outside. Len Drago, who is responsible for the facility's environmental profile, offers to show it to me. As we walk around the building's perimeter, he explains how water flows through the plant.

The tiniest imperfection can render a wafer useless, so incoming water cascades through a series of filters until its mineral content is a hundred-thousandth that of Colorado River water. The briny byproduct goes into a towering tank that looks like a Jules Verne moon rocket, which distills out the remaining water and pumps it back to the beginning of the system. The salty sludge goes to an evaporation pond. The purified water, meanwhile, is used to wash chips. The rinse water is treated and then sent to other parts of the campus: the air scrubbers that filter the plant's emissions, the massive cooling towers that keep workers from suffocating in the desert heat. Even the drought-resistant desert landscaping in the plant's parking lot is irrigated with wastewater.

But Intel doesn't reuse all of its wastewater. Every day, the company pumps 1.5 million gallons to a $19 million reverse-osmosis desalination plant it built for Chandler. This water, cleaned to drinking standards, is pumped 6 miles away and injected 600 feet down into a sandstone aquifer beneath the city. To date, Intel has banked more than 3 billion gallons. The facility recycles or stores 75 percent of the water it brings in, Drago says.

Intel isn't simply trying to be a good corporate citizen. Nor is it merely out to save money. Running a sustainable operation greases the regulatory wheels when the company wants to expand. Because Intel was well within the government's environmental thresholds for the site, Fab 32 didn't even require a new water-use permit. It hasn't always been this way, Drago admits. "Back in the early 1980s, we had three Superfund sites in California," he says. "It's a lot easier to do things the right way. Especially in the long term."

The long term, however, will be ruled by the twin realities of an exploding population and a hotter, drier climate. Dave Siegel, Chandler's water czar, describes how he plans to continue providing for the growing city (and his biggest customer, Intel). The government has legal rights to all the water it needs, he says, not only from the SRP and the CAP but from 27 wells drilled into the aquifer. "That's legal water, mind you," he says. "It's a different thing than physical water." Legal water refers to the complex array of agreements, treaties, and laws that govern water use in the American West — and federal and state allocations trump Chandler's municipal rights. As for physical water, that's the stuff coming out of the tap. All the legal water in the world isn't enough to wash a bandanna if there's no physical water available.

So Chandler came up with a clever plan. The city banks as much excess CAP water as it can, pumping it underground along with Intel's contribution. Thanks to this so-called recharge, the local aquifer is actually rising a few feet a year. Siegel maintains that even if the most apocalyptic predictions came true — say, the rivers collapse completely — Chandler would be able to soldier on. "If we never recharge another drop," he says, "we have enough water underneath us to last about 100 years." His projection includes future growth, including two more Intel fabs now on the drawing board.

End excerpt.

Last bit from me on this... I've heard a rumor many times that this particular company highlighted in the article considered at one point in time recharging the aquifers right here in Mohave County. If true, then the Mohave County centric political environment has been messed up much longer than I imagined.

Please support new industry prospects here in Mohave County.